2020 Geopolitical

Iran in Turmoil? Prospects for Change

Event Date Mon Jan 13, 2020
Event Time 6 PM
The Sebastian – Vail16 Vail Road

Forty years ago, a group of Iranian militants seized 98 people at the U.S. Embassy in Tehran in what became known as the Iran hostage crisis. All remaining hostages were released from captivity 444 days later. But the damage was done. In the intervening decades, Americans have held an overwhelmingly unfavorable view of Iran. According to 2019 Gallup polling, 82 percent of Americans view Iran unfavorably.

The current administration has pursued a policy of “maximum pressure” against Iran which includes harsh economic sanctions and pulling out of the Iran Nuclear Treaty that was negotiated during the Obama Administration and included five other major powers. For its part, Iran has not shied away from provocative and deadly behavior towards the United States and its Middle Eastern allies.

On January 3, 2020, Qassem Soleimani, the head of Iran’s elite Quds military force and one of the most powerful figures in the Islamic Republic, was killed in an American airstrike in Baghdad. Did the United States avert escalating hostilities with this airstrike, or throw gasoline on the fire?
In this incredibly timely program, Milani will provide a look into the turbulent internal dynamics of Iranian society, particularly as it relates to its troubled economy, rising unemployment and inflation, diminished options on oil, questions of succession and an increasingly assertive women’s movement. Will Iran be more democratic in the future? And how will recent events impact the United States’ policy and relationship with Iran?

As events continue to unfold, this program will undoubtedly change as well to reflect the most up-to-date information and news.

This program is underwritten by Sandy & Fred Pack and Pat & Larry Stewart
The Geopolitics Series is graciously underwritten by Cindy Engles


Abbas Milani

Abbas Milani

Hamid & Christina Moghadam Director of Iranian Studies

Stanford University

Greg Dobbs

Greg Dobbs